Author . Krishanu Biswas . 5 min read
The recent Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir elections have shocked political analysts and the public alike. Everyone expected different results, especially after the exit polls, but BJP has once again managed to pull off an unexpected win, proving that political surprises are always around the corner.
Let’s break down what happened and why this is such a big deal.
What Did the Exit Polls Predict?
Before the election results came out, most people believed that BJP was going to lose Haryana. The general mood was that people were tired of the party after 10 years of governance (known as “anti-incumbency”). Exit polls suggested that the BJP was trailing behind, and many thought the Congress party would come out stronger.
In Jammu & Kashmir, the expectation was even lower. People assumed that Kashmir, being historically resistant to the BJP, wouldn’t give them many votes. Some believed the BJP might gain a few seats in Jammu but wouldn’t have much of an impact.
What Happened in Reality?
Contrary to predictions, the final results told a different story. In Haryana, BJP not only won but also created history by winning despite anti-incumbency. Out of 90 assembly seats, BJP secured 51 seats, showing their best performance ever. Meanwhile, Congress was able to get 34 seats, while other smaller parties like INLD and BSP managed to win only a few.
In Jammu & Kashmir, BJP secured 29 seats, becoming a major player there too. National Conference, which many thought would dominate, got 41 seats, while Congress won only 5.
The fact that BJP performed well in both regions has left many wondering—how did they do it?
How Did BJP Manage to Win?
- Strong Groundwork and Campaigning: BJP’s ground-level workers played a crucial role in ensuring that the party’s message reached every corner of Haryana. Their focus on welfare schemes, development projects, and connecting with the public worked in their favor.
- Handling Anti-Incumbency: Even though there was a sense of dissatisfaction among voters after 10 years of BJP rule, the party managed to win them over again. They highlighted the achievements of the past decade, especially infrastructure development and social welfare schemes.
- Smart Strategy in Jammu & Kashmir: In Jammu & Kashmir, BJP focused heavily on the Jammu region, where they have a stronger base. They were able to secure votes by addressing local issues and playing up national security concerns, which resonated with voters.
- The splintering of Opposition Votes: In both Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir, the opposition votes were divided. Smaller parties and independent candidates split the vote bank, which worked in BJP’s favour, especially in closely contested seats.
- National Appeal of Modi: Prime Minister Narendra Modi remains a huge draw for voters. His leadership, combined with BJP’s focus on national unity and security, helped the party maintain its popularity even in areas where it wasn’t expected to perform well.
Congress’ Reaction and Challenges
As expected, Congress wasn’t too happy with the results. In Haryana, they accused the election commission of delaying results and claimed some irregularities. However, it didn’t change the outcome—the BJP had already secured a comfortable win.
In Jammu & Kashmir, Congress joined forces with National Conference, but it wasn’t enough to stop BJP from making gains. With only 5 seats, Congress saw a significant decline in its influence in the region.
What Does This Mean for BJP Going Forward?
BJP’s victory in Haryana and strong performance in Jammu & Kashmir are signs that the party is still a dominant force in Indian politics. Winning Haryana for the third time is no small feat, especially in a state where voters rarely re-elect the same party multiple times.
In Jammu & Kashmir, the fact that BJP is now a major player is significant. While they didn’t win the most seats, their presence in the assembly shows that they are slowly gaining ground, even in regions where they were historically weak.
Conclusion
The 2024 elections in Haryana and Jammu & Kashmir proved that in politics, nothing is set in stone. Despite the odds, the BJP managed to turn the tables and win, surprising both political analysts and their opponents. Their success can be attributed to a combination of good strategy, strong leadership, and a deep connection with the voters.
As the dust settles, it’s clear that the BJP’s influence continues to grow, and their win in these elections will have a lasting impact on the political landscape in India. Whether you support them or not, their ability to adapt and succeed is something that can’t be ignored.
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